Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +6.3 |
| Ty Johnson | 35 | 12-23 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 17 | +3.4 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Niko Rocak | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Nils Cooper | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Pablo Tamba | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Sione Lose | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Jac Mani | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Swenson | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -4.3 |
| Cole Anderson | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Kenny Pohto | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Colin Smith | 29 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Max Murrell | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Deuce Turner | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
* = starter