Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Fofana | 35 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Scotty Washington | 35 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 29 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Keonte Jones | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| PJ Fuller II | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Brinson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Beard | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Barbee | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Grady Lewis | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Festus Ndumanya | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jemel Jones | 28 | 13-22 | 6-11 | 13-16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 25 | - |
| Kadar Waller | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jaden Alexander | 23 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Shakiru Odunewu | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tom Mark | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| CJ Hardy | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Stephenson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gloire Goma | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter