Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 30 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Isaac Jessup | 27 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Owen Koonce | 27 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Mac Riniker | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Peter Bandelj | 24 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Menzies | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luka Tarlac | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Rapp | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kody Williams | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Christensen | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Gytis Nemeiksa | 25 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Hunkin-Claytor | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Harry Rouhliadeff | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Akira Jacobs | 14 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Greene | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Logan Robeson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Osa Obasohan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| AJ Economou | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Palm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter