Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Swenson | 36 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Cole Anderson | 33 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Kenny Pohto | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | -10.2 |
| Colin Smith | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Deuce Turner | 22 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | -14.7 |
| Ariel Bland | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Max Murrell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson | 40 | 9-21 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | +11.9 |
| Connor Sevilla | 32 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +12.2 |
| Niko Rocak | 28 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 25 | +11.8 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +22.1 |
| Sione Lose | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Nils Cooper | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2.8 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Jamaal Unuakhalu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
* = starter