Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +15 (94-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotty Washington | 35 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -10.2 |
| PJ Fuller II | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -13.2 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -5.4 |
| Keonte Jones | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -21.3 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Tyler Beard | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Judson Martindale | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Grady Lewis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Jordan Brinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 33 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 26 | +6.3 |
| Kaleb Smith | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +12.4 |
| Isaiah Moses | 27 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +17.6 |
| Niyi Olabode | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Nate Pickens | 22 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Joel Armotrading | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | +8.8 |
| Rikus Schulte | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.7 |
| Luke Turner | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Gavin Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Parker Strauss | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
* = starter