Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Gray | 37 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -6.6 |
| Tyler McGhie | 37 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones | 32 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Chris Howell | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | +0.1 |
| Nordin Kapic | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -6.3 |
| Justin Rochelin | 18 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Maximo Milovich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Aidan Burke | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.7 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 37 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +13.3 |
| Keonte Jones | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 24 | +10.9 |
| PJ Fuller II | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +12.2 |
| Scotty Washington | 26 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -6 | -0.1 |
| Tyler Beard | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Grady Lewis | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.2 |
| Judson Martindale | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Jalen Barbee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter