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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +30 (86-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Oday 39 4-9 2-4 5-8 4 4 1 0 4 15 11 -24.3
Kobe Young 37 3-9 0-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 4 6 4 -26.4
Antwan Robinson 37 6-10 4-6 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 16 13 -24.4
LoLo Rudolph 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -3 -14.3
Kendrick De Luna 24 5-8 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
Keith Richard 22 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 -2 -27.8
Zach Visentin 12 3-7 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 4 -8.0
J. Square 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.8

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deuce Turner 24 7-12 3-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 18 14 +19.6
Jason Fontenet II 23 3-5 0-2 0-1 4 2 1 1 0 6 9 +10.3
Cole Anderson 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 5 +18.4
Stephan Swenson 22 2-5 2-4 1-2 4 3 2 0 1 7 10 +23.9
Kenny Pohto 20 4-7 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 11 5 +8.3
Ben Shtolzberg 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 6 8 +21.1
Evans Kipruto 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 2 +20.1
Zion Sensley 15 4-7 3-5 3-4 5 1 0 1 1 14 13 +23.8
Max Murrell 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -0.3
Colin Smith 10 4-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 7 +14.9
Ariel Bland 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 3 1 2 7 +7.1
Elia Bongiorno 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
David Pickles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.0
Max Sheldon 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.0
Henry Hartwell 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0

* = starter