Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 36 | 7-21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Isaiah Moses | 34 | 6-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -3 | +0.6 |
| Nate Pickens | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Kaleb Smith | 22 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Niyi Olabode | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Joel Armotrading | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Rikus Schulte | 18 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -7.6 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Gavin Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.0 |
| Luke Turner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson | 35 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Pablo Tamba | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | +14.9 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Niko Rocak | 24 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Nils Cooper | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Connor Sevilla | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +0.9 |
| Jac Mani | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.0 |
* = starter