Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | +7.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +16 (79-63). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11.1 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Tanner Christensen * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Hunkin-Claytor * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Akira Jacobs * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Kody Williams | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -12.5 |
| Ryan Rapp | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -12.3 |
| Marcus Greene | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Gytis Nemeiksa | 16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -4.7 |
| Jerome Palm | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Osahon Obasohan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| AJ Economou | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Logan Robeson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder * | 34 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +18.2 |
| Isaac Jessup * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +18.9 |
| Owen Koonce * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +18.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Mac Riniker * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Peter Bandelj | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +14.0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.0 |
| Ethan Menzies | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +9.5 |
| Paul Bizimana | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter