Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 37 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Ty Johnson | 32 | 8-25 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Pablo Tamba | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Niko Rocak | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | +6.1 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +7.7 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Nils Cooper | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -12.1 |
| Jac Mani | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.0 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 32 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Isaiah Moses | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Nate Pickens | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Joel Armotrading | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -6.8 |
| Kaleb Smith | 23 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Niyi Olabode | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Rikus Schulte | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Parker Strauss | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Gavin Davis | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.0 |
* = starter