Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotty Washington | 35 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | +10.9 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 33 | 8-15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | +6.9 |
| PJ Fuller II | 31 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Keonte Jones | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | +11.0 |
| Tyler Beard | 19 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Grady Lewis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Jalen Barbee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Fontenet II | 37 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | -12.0 |
| Cole Anderson | 34 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -13.7 |
| Kenny Pohto | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Max Murrell | 29 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Stephan Swenson | 23 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | -9.1 |
| Deuce Turner | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Ariel Bland | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter