Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Swenson | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -21.7 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Kenny Pohto | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -28.2 |
| Cole Anderson | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -23.7 |
| Deuce Turner | 26 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Max Murrell | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Ariel Bland | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +18.4 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +18.6 |
| Chris Mitchell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Colin Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Gray | 32 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Tyler McGhie | 31 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Chris Howell | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones | 30 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | +16.0 |
| Nordin Kapic | 26 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +9.6 |
| Justin Rochelin | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +10.2 |
| Aidan Burke | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +18.1 |
| Maximo Milovich | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Cade Pendleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Ryder Elisaldez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Jasen Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter