Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 35 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -5.8 |
| Kaleb Smith | 27 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Nate Pickens | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Niyi Olabode | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Joel Armotrading | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Parker Strauss | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.4 |
| Isaiah Moses | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +7.8 |
| Rikus Schulte | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +15.5 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.6 |
| Luke Turner | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Gavin Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Fontenet II | 38 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Stephan Swenson | 35 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +7.0 |
| Colin Smith | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Kenny Pohto | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +13.2 |
| Cole Anderson | 25 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Max Murrell | 23 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -10.4 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13.3 |
| Deuce Turner | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Ariel Bland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter