Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +10 (63-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Young | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -9.8 |
| Antwan Robinson | 28 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -10.8 |
| Kaleb Brown | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Donovan Oday | 22 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | -17.9 |
| Zion Richardson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Richard | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -9.9 |
| J. Square | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +1.2 |
| LoLo Rudolph | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Zach Visentin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson | 36 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | +9.9 |
| Pablo Tamba | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +9.3 |
| Connor Sevilla | 32 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Niko Rocak | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | +11.7 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Nils Cooper | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +7.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +12.2 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Sione Lose | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter