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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Margin 61.3% 38.7% -2.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Hohn 33 4-10 4-9 4-4 3 5 3 0 3 16 14 +5.9
Devin Tillis 32 6-12 1-5 0-0 4 1 3 1 1 13 9 +1.9
Jurian Dixon 30 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 3 0 +8.4
Bent Leuchten 28 3-5 0-0 11-14 12 3 1 2 2 17 28 +14.0
Myles Che 18 3-9 3-6 6-6 2 0 1 0 5 15 4 +12.7
B. Akin 15 2-2 1-1 3-5 0 0 2 0 2 8 6 -6.3
Torian Lee 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.8
Kyle Evans 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -2.5
Ofure Ujadughele 10 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 0 0 6 -4.3
Ben Egbo 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 +0.6

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mahmoud Fofana 36 5-8 0-0 0-1 13 1 3 0 4 10 15 -5.8
Marcus Adams Jr. 30 4-12 0-3 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 11 3 -8.1
Keonte Jones 30 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 2 4 0 4 -5.4
Scotty Washington 28 7-14 0-1 5-5 2 1 3 0 2 19 9 -6.0
PJ Fuller II 24 3-11 1-6 0-0 1 2 2 1 1 7 1 -3.7
Jordan Brinson 16 1-4 0-1 5-6 3 2 0 0 0 7 8 +3.1
Tyler Beard 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -6.9
Jalen Barbee 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 4 10 +3.7
Festus Ndumanya 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -0.7
Grady Lewis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +1.0

* = starter