Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.3% | 5.7% | -15.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -30 (65-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +27.8 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 26 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +29.8 |
| Scotty Washington | 25 | 6-15 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +13.0 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +11.9 |
| PJ Fuller II | 20 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | +7.9 |
| Tyler Beard | 18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +22.0 |
| Jordan Brinson | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +21.0 |
| Jalen Barbee | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Judson Martindale | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Sabien Cain | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Robert Thibiant | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick De Luna | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Square | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -16.1 |
| Kaleb Brown | 26 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -9.9 |
| Donovan Oday | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | -27.0 |
| Kobe Young | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +8.1 |
| LoLo Rudolph | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -13.0 |
| Zion Richardson | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -23.0 |
| Keith Richard | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -28.9 |
| Zach Visentin | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -27.9 |
* = starter