Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Che | 35 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Jurian Dixon | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +13.6 |
| Devin Tillis | 34 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22 | +6.3 |
| Justin Hohn | 33 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Bent Leuchten | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 26 | +6.3 |
| B. Akin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Kyle Evans | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Torian Lee | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Ben Egbo | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Elijah Chol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.1 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 41 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Owen Koonce | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Isaac Jessup | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Mac Riniker | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -9.5 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 24 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Menzies | 21 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -11.7 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Cayden Ward | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Luka Tarlac | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter