Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones | 35 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +2.3 |
| Tyler McGhie | 33 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -2.5 |
| Chris Howell | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Hayden Gray | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +0.2 |
| Nordin Kapic | 24 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Justin Rochelin | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -17.4 |
| Maximo Milovich | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +12.2 |
| Aidan Burke | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2.1 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Swenson | 35 | 7-12 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 | -7.9 |
| Kenny Pohto | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Colin Smith | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Deuce Turner | 26 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Cole Anderson | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +13.2 |
| Max Murrell | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.2 |
* = starter