Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins | 40 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | -4.6 |
| D. King | 39 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6.9 |
| Sam Sherry | 34 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Isaac Harrell | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -16.7 |
| Brayden Crump | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -5.8 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -1.3 |
| Trey O'Neil | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Kendall Campbell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +4.9 |
| Deandre Smart | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.2 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins | 40 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | +5.0 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 37 | 9-18 | 8-16 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +7.0 |
| Madison Durr | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Jaret Valencia | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +8.8 |
| Dok Muordar | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aric Demings | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Sam Fagan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Morgan | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Andrew Ball | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Jordan Meka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
* = starter