Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Williams | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Sean Moore | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -0.9 |
| Donovan Newby | 29 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Bo Montgomery | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Nolan Hodge | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +20.8 |
| Noah Ross | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Harlan Obioha | 21 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 26 | +13.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | -5.9 |
| Josh Corbin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 32 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Keller Boothby | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Chase Lowe | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 22 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Malachi Ndur | 20 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 20 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Matteus Case | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Kyle Frazier | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +4.0 |
* = starter