Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | 37 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Tyler Tejada | 36 | 10-21 | 1-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Christian May | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Messiah Jones | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | +7.0 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +10.1 |
| Nendah Tarke | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Caleb Embeya | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Abdou Samb | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins | 36 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | -6.5 |
| Sam Sherry | 36 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -9.4 |
| D. King | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9.6 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 32 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6.7 |
| TJ Simpkins | 29 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Harrell | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Brayden Crump | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Kendall Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter