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2025-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Hofstra Pride William & Mary Tribe Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: William & Mary Tribe +1 (61-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cruz Davis 35 9-17 3-8 1-3 3 3 1 1 1 22 12 +8.4
Joshua DeCady 31 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 4 1 0 5 13 +8.5
TJ Gadsden 29 3-8 1-5 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 8 7 +5.7
Jean Aranguren 28 2-7 1-3 2-2 8 4 2 0 3 7 11 -2.4
Khalil Farmer 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 5 1 -0.4
German Plotnikov 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -3.0
Jaquan Sanders 20 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 +11.5
KiJan Robinson 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +2.0
Michael Graham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Silas Sunday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Dorsey 31 4-8 3-5 3-3 6 0 1 0 1 14 12 -2.0
Matteus Case 28 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 2 2 0 2 6 8 -2.4
Chase Lowe 27 6-7 0-0 3-7 4 1 2 0 3 15 12 -8.3
Isaiah Mbeng 24 0-4 0-3 2-2 4 5 0 1 5 2 3 +4.8
Keller Boothby 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 1 -9.5
Malachi Ndur 21 4-8 1-2 0-2 9 1 0 0 3 9 8 +1.9
Caleb Dorsey 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 5 -8.0
Kyle Frazier 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 2 +1.6
Ryan Jackson Jr. 8 3-4 1-2 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
Miles Hicks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0
Finn Lally 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter