Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | 35 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Christian May | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Tejada | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Nendah Tarke | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Messiah Jones | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Abdou Samb | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Caleb Embeya | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -3.4 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 32 | 7-23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | -4 | -4.6 |
| Madison Durr | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -5.5 |
| Jaret Valencia | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Andrew Ball | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Dok Muordar | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aric Demings | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Justin Ray | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Jordan Meka | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Chris Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter