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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Hofstra Pride Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 โœ— (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—

Actual: Elon Phoenix -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jean Aranguren 39 4-13 0-5 3-6 12 5 0 1 0 11 16 +12.7
Cruz Davis 37 6-15 3-5 3-4 3 4 0 0 2 18 8 +10.7
Michael Graham 30 7-8 0-0 1-1 13 1 0 1 0 15 22 +7.6
Jaquan Sanders 24 2-8 1-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 -1 +5.2
Joshua DeCady 20 5-7 2-3 3-6 5 0 0 0 0 15 13 +7.7
TJ Gadsden 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 +4.3
Khalil Farmer 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +8.9
Silas Sunday 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 +4.2
KiJan Robinson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.2

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Sherry 34 4-11 2-5 6-8 10 3 0 0 0 16 18 -10.8
TJ Simpkins 29 4-10 3-7 7-8 6 4 0 0 0 18 18 -
Nick Dorn 29 3-14 2-10 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 9 -2 -9.1
D. King 28 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 5 -16.3
TK Simpkins 26 2-15 2-5 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 7 -4 -6.0
Matthew Van Komen 21 3-4 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 1 0 8 14 -5.9
Isaac Harrell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -3.6
Brayden Crump 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -2.7
Kendall Campbell 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -2.2

* = starter