Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins | 38 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -2.0 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 35 | 5-17 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Madison Durr | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 35 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | -8.1 |
| Dok Muordar | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Ball | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Chris Morgan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
| Justin Ray | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Aric Demings | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 32 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Keller Boothby | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +13.2 |
| Matteus Case | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +20.5 |
| Noah Collier | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 20 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Malachi Ndur | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +8.8 |
| Kyle Frazier | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -6.6 |
| Finn Lally | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter