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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix Delaware Blue Hens Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“

Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Simpkins 33 7-14 0-3 7-7 4 2 2 0 0 21 15 -
Sam Sherry 31 5-9 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 15 9 -0.2
TK Simpkins 30 6-17 2-6 2-6 3 4 1 1 5 16 3 -1.6
Nick Dorn 27 2-8 2-7 4-5 3 1 1 0 0 10 7 -9.0
Isaac Harrell 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 8 10 +2.1
Brayden Crump 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 +9.0
D. King 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 0 2 -1.7
Matthew Van Komen 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 3 0 -2.0
Kendall Campbell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.9

Delaware Blue Hens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Camden 35 9-11 3-5 7-8 3 0 0 2 3 28 19 -4.0
Erik Timko 35 3-9 3-8 6-6 2 2 2 0 3 15 9 -4.8
Niels Lane 34 5-12 0-1 0-0 10 2 1 0 4 10 7 +1.1
Cavan Reilly 32 6-9 4-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 18 10 -5.9
Izaiah Pasha 28 3-8 0-2 2-5 4 2 1 1 4 8 4 -14.7
Macon Emory 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 +3.9
Trent Middleton Jr. 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 0 4 +18.1
Kevin Kogbara 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.9

* = starter