Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 31 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Matteus Case | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Keller Boothby | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Noah Collier | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Kyle Frazier | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Malachi Ndur | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Bo Montgomery | 31 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | +6.9 |
| Sean Moore | 26 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1.2 |
| G. Williams | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Khamari McGriff | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Noah Ross | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Nolan Hodge | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Harlan Obioha | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -4.7 |
| Josh Corbin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +3.0 |
* = starter