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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix Drexel Dragons Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 โœ— (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—

Actual: Drexel Dragons -11 (54-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Sherry 35 7-10 1-3 4-5 9 1 0 0 1 19 18 +6.1
Nick Dorn 32 1-11 0-6 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 6 -1 +0.5
TK Simpkins 28 5-13 4-6 1-1 2 2 2 0 1 15 7 +15.0
TJ Simpkins 28 5-6 1-1 4-4 2 3 2 0 0 15 16 -
D. King 24 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 4 6 4 -1.0
Matthew Van Komen 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 0 2 +12.5
Isaac Harrell 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +6.3
Brayden Crump 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 +6.3
Kendall Campbell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.1

Drexel Dragons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yame Butler 36 4-7 2-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 11 8 -7.4
Kobe MaGee 35 7-16 3-8 0-0 6 2 2 0 4 17 7 -1.4
Cole Hargrove 34 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 2 1 2 6 +0.7
Jason Drake 29 5-9 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 15 9 -3.6
Victor Panov 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 4 4 -10.2
Horace Simmons 12 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 +2.6
Shane Blakeney 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.6
Villiam Garcia Adsten 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.7
Kevon Vanderhorst 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -5.8
Clem Edomwonyin 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -9.9
Ralph Akuta 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter