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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Hampton Pirates Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - โœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ— (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—

Actual: Hampton Pirates -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Dorsey 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -4.5
Keller Boothby 29 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 6 -1.2
Matteus Case 26 6-6 0-0 6-7 2 1 1 0 1 18 15 -1.9
Caleb Dorsey 24 3-7 0-3 4-4 5 4 0 1 2 10 11 -1.8
Isaiah Mbeng 24 2-3 2-3 1-2 3 5 0 0 1 7 11 +4.2
Chase Lowe 20 1-4 0-0 4-7 1 1 1 0 2 6 3 -3.0
Noah Collier 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 0 -2 +4.9
Kyle Pulliam 12 5-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 13 9 +4.9
Malachi Ndur 11 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 7 2 +6.2
Kyle Frazier 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 +3.0
Miles Hicks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xzavier Long 31 3-3 1-1 2-3 9 1 0 0 0 9 16 +1.0
Trevor Smith 28 3-12 1-8 5-6 2 4 2 0 3 12 5 -3.0
G. Beale 26 4-13 1-7 2-4 3 0 3 0 2 11 2 +2.3
Wayne Bristol Jr. 24 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 1 5 1 +4.0
Noah Farrakhan 22 4-8 3-3 4-4 1 2 1 0 3 15 8 +3.3
Daniel Johnson 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 +4.1
Tyler Rice 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -3.9
Kyrese Mullen 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -8.9
Richard Goods 11 1-1 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 1 0 4 10 -1.0
Elijah Kennedy 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.9

* = starter