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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks Hofstra Pride Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% - โœ—
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 โœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—

Actual: Hofstra Pride +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Newby 38 9-22 8-14 4-5 5 5 2 0 2 30 18 -6.6
Sean Moore 27 4-9 1-5 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 9 6 -2.1
Khamari McGriff 23 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 8 8 +1.9
Josh Corbin 22 2-8 1-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 1 -8.3
Bo Montgomery 21 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 2 6 +2.1
Nolan Hodge 20 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 2 -15.7
G. Williams 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 4 4 -6.3
Harlan Obioha 18 1-2 0-0 0-6 4 1 0 0 3 2 2 -12.6
Noah Ross 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -5.2

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khalil Farmer 38 4-9 3-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 13 6 +13.7
Jean Aranguren 37 7-15 5-9 1-1 3 4 1 0 5 20 8 +14.5
Cruz Davis 32 2-9 2-5 1-2 3 7 2 1 2 7 9 +5.7
TJ Gadsden 29 2-4 2-4 0-2 4 1 0 1 1 6 7 +13.3
Michael Graham 21 5-5 0-0 1-3 11 0 1 2 1 11 19 -6.0
Silas Sunday 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 6 10 +17.1
KiJan Robinson 18 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 +2.2
Joshua DeCady 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2.6
Eric Parnell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter