Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.4% | 21.6% | -7.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -9 (55-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Josh Corbin | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Khamari McGriff | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Nolan Hodge | 26 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Bo Montgomery | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +7.5 |
| Sean Moore | 20 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Noah Ross | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Harlan Obioha | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +4.3 |
| G. Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.9 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Durr | 38 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 36 | 6-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Jack Collins | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -7.5 |
| Dok Muordar | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jaret Valencia | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Justin Ray | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Chris Morgan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -10.4 |
| Jordan Meka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Andrew Ball | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.5 |
* = starter