Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dorn | 35 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | -10.8 |
| TJ Simpkins | 35 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -12.3 |
| D. King | 34 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -5.8 |
| Sam Sherry | 33 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Isaac Harrell | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -15.9 |
| Brayden Crump | 18 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Kendall Campbell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Trey O'Neil | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Boothby | 32 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Gabe Dorsey | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +14.1 |
| Chase Lowe | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +13.2 |
| Matteus Case | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Kyle Frazier | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +12.1 |
| Noah Collier | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Malachi Ndur | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter