Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Stony Brook Seawolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Boothby | 29 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Gabe Dorsey | 26 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Chase Lowe | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | +3.4 |
| Matteus Case | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +6.9 |
| Malachi Ndur | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Kyle Frazier | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Noah Collier | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Frey | 35 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -6.3 |
| Ben Wight | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -9.5 |
| CJ Luster II | 29 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Joe Octave | 28 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Andre Snoddy | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -14.9 |
| Collin O'Connor | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nick Woodard | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Quin Gorman | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Sabry Philip | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter