Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +6 (57-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayla Hearp | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -5.1 |
| Amiya Joyner | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -8.9 |
| Khia Miller | 31 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -7.4 |
| Synia Johnson | 29 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -7.3 |
| Tal. Wyche | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Tat. Wyche | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jade Tillman | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Morgan Moseley | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Devin Hagemann | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Bobbi Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Timia Ware | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Anzhané Hutton | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton McDaniel | 38 | 7-19 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +10.6 |
| Kseniia Kozlova | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | +5.6 |
| Jamia Hazell | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Roshala Scott | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Zakiya Stephenson | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +5.3 |
| A. Barnes | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Annalicia Goodman | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Angela Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Bree Robinson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.6 |
* = starter