Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -16 (45-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaliena Sanchez | 36 | 3-16 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +13.7 |
| Jaden Walker | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | +10.9 |
| Jordon Lewis | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Carmen Yanez | 24 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12.2 |
| Yasmin Ott | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Tiara Bellamy | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Talia Davis | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Lauren Thompson | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Laura Lacambra | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Alaina Williams | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Riley Donahue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanessa Boyd | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Harris Robinson | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Ineivi Plata | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Marissa Shelton | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Julianna Gibson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jade Campbell | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Natalie Johnson | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Airah Lavy | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -14.9 |
| Giselle Eke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Marina Artero | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter