Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diawna Carter-Hartley | 34 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | -6.0 |
| Jorah Eppley | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8.9 |
| Cameron Thomas | 29 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -10.4 |
| Quentarra Mitchell | 28 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Promise Keshi | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Mary McMillan | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Raven LeXander | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Shelby Calhoun | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -14.1 |
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Mafua | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +17.2 |
| Jade Upshaw | 29 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +12.7 |
| Bree Stephens | 26 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | +9.9 |
| Kinley Fisher | 24 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Cheyanne Kemp | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +9.8 |
| Elizabeth Abiara | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Randrea Wright | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Cheyenne Banks | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Jenna Cook | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -1.4 |
| Destine Duckworth | 10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +7.7 |
* = starter