Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✗ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lowe | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +5.6 |
| G. Dorsey | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +0.9 |
| K. Boothby | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.4 |
| N. Collier | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +12.2 |
| M. Case | 24 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | +25.3 |
| K. Frazier | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +25.6 |
| I. Mbeng | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +17.4 |
| C. Dorsey | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +4.5 |
| M. Ndur | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 39 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -17.0 |
| G. Plotnikov | 35 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | -17.6 |
| J. Sanders | 33 | 5-16 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | -14.5 |
| J. Aranguren | 27 | 4-16 | 1-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -13.1 |
| J. DeCady | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +11.4 |
| TJ Gadsden | 20 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -7.7 |
| M. Graham | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.7 |
| K. Robinson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| S. Sunday | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| K. Farmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter