Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada | 38 | 7-21 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 3 | +7.7 |
| Christian May | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Williamson | 28 | 2-17 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -7 | +11.2 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | +9.5 |
| Nendah Tarke | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Messiah Jones | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +13.2 |
| Caleb Embeya | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Abdou Samb | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -2.1 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 41 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Josh Corbin | 35 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Nolan Hodge | 35 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Harlan Obioha | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 25 | -7.6 |
| Bo Montgomery | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Khamari McGriff | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.2 |
| Sean Moore | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.5 |
| G. Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.2 |
* = starter