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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Monmouth Hawks Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 โœ“ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“

Actual: Monmouth Hawks +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin O'Connor 29 0-7 0-2 2-4 1 1 3 0 2 2 -2 -15.4
Ben Wight 25 1-4 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 4 4 -11.8
Joe Octave 24 4-9 1-3 6-8 5 0 0 0 1 15 10 -22.5
Andre Snoddy 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 2 -6.6
CJ Luster II 22 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 7 -1 -9.3
Jared Frey 21 1-6 0-2 3-3 0 1 1 0 0 5 1 -21.3
Nick Woodard 21 5-8 1-3 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 12 9 -1.3
Sabry Philip 17 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -17.3
Jeremiah Nyarko 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -5.0
Quin Gorman 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Leon Nahar 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Madison Durr 32 1-7 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 3 1 +24.6
Abdi Bashir Jr. 32 12-18 7-10 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 31 12 +22.6
Jack Collins 26 3-5 1-2 2-2 7 4 1 1 0 9 17 +23.4
Cornelius Robinson Jr. 23 3-4 0-1 2-5 8 1 1 0 2 8 12 +26.4
Jaret Valencia 22 2-6 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 4 0 6 9 +21.3
Aric Demings 19 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 +9.3
Dok Muordar 16 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 2 1 8 11 -
Chris Morgan 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 4 10 +2.2
Justin Ray 5 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 +3.1
Quinn Peters 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Lucas Orchard 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0
Corey Miller 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0
Jack Leahy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Sam Fagan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Andrew Ball 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter