Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | +10.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +9 (60-51). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bornemann * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | -14.0 |
| Asta Blauenfeldt * | 34 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -6.5 |
| Paula Gallego * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Sarah Talon * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Olivia Rockwood * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Caroline Dotsey | 24 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Jaycie Christopher | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Sera Hodgson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -3.0 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reagan Bass * | 38 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +12.7 |
| Ella Collier * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +12.3 |
| Destini Lombard * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +2.7 |
| Amiyah Reynolds * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +14.9 |
| Lana McCarthy * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Rashunda Jones | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Sophie Swanson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -12.6 |
| Kendall Puryear | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4.2 |
| McKenna Layden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
* = starter