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2024-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 63.2% 36.8% -
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% -
Margin 69.9% 30.1% -4.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Log Adjusted 78.5% 21.5% -
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Walker 36 9-20 2-3 4-4 4 1 4 0 0 24 13 -5.3
D. Littlepage-Buggs 36 7-13 0-0 5-6 10 1 0 0 4 19 13 -1.9
S. Andrews 36 4-14 2-8 3-4 5 6 3 0 2 13 11 -1.5
Y. Felder 32 3-5 0-2 3-5 2 3 0 0 5 9 4 +2.6
A. Vonleh 29 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 -5.5
W. Jennings 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +3.6
K. Abraham 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 +3.7
K. Nelms 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -0.1
B. Fontleroy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Whitfield 35 7-12 1-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 16 9 +6.7
S. Bell 33 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 4 +9.2
D. Kelly 32 7-17 0-2 6-8 9 5 3 0 1 20 19 +6.8
E. Mevius 22 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 6 3 0 0 4 15 -5.2
A. Muhammad 20 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 8 1 +4.7
P. Kyei 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 4 4 -1.3
N. Falatea 16 4-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 12 11 -3.6
P. Scott 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 5 4 -1 +2.5
S. Rambus 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -3 -3.9
K. Fiso 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter