Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitty Henderson | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Cecelia Collins | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Perri Page | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Riley Weiss | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1 | +4.4 |
| Susie Rafiu | 23 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Nasi Simmons | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.4 |
| M. Avlijas | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | +2.4 |
| Blau Tor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Maria Arrebola | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bascoe | 39 | 7-15 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Bronagh Power-Cassidy | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Maddie Webber | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Lara Edmanson | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Maddie Burke | 22 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | -2.2 |
| Denae Carter | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -4.1 |
| Jaliyah Green | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
* = starter