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North Dakota State Bison 71
@
Butler Bulldogs 68
2024-12-10

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 ✗ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - ✓
Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - ✗

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Watkins 38 1-7 1-5 4-4 2 6 1 0 2 7 7 +9.3
J. White 36 10-14 7-9 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 27 19 +8.3
J. Moni 34 10-23 4-10 1-2 7 3 1 2 3 25 12 +13.4
M. Miller 34 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
N. Feddersen 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 6 +12.2
T. Miller 18 2-4 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 7 6 -
D. Dissette 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -8.4
L. Kasubke 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.6
A. Stefonowicz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Telfort 37 8-20 2-3 5-8 6 4 0 0 1 23 12 -5.9
P. Brooks 36 8-15 4-6 6-7 7 1 0 0 0 26 19 -4.5
F. Bizjack 32 0-3 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 2 6 +2.8
P. McCaffery 31 3-13 1-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 7 -1 -7.1
K. King 27 2-3 0-1 0-1 4 3 2 0 1 4 9 -6.5
A. Cassia 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 4 10 -1.9
L. Moore 9 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -14.3
B. Kapke 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.5
A. Screen 5 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.1

* = starter