Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Barnhizer * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | -1.8 |
| Nick Martinelli * | 35 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -10.0 |
| Jalen Leach * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | +0.6 |
| Ty Berry * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.2 |
| K.J. Windham | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Luke Hunger | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Justin Mullins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyl Telfort * | 38 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +6.1 |
| Patrick McCaffery * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Pierre Brooks * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Finley Bizjack * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Augusto Cassia * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Andre Screen | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Kolby King | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +9.2 |
| Landon Moore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Boden Kapke | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -3.9 |
* = starter