Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez White * | 35 | 6-18 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Zaxton King * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Jalen Hampton * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Vincent Brady II * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +14.8 |
| Chase Martin | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Wesley Oba | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 16 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3 | -10.3 |
| Allen Udemadu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Sam Murray II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyl Telfort * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 11-16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 25 | +5.3 |
| Pierre Brooks * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Patrick McCaffery * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Landon Moore * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Andre Screen * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Kolby King | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Augusto Cassia | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Boden Kapke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Evan Haywood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.3 |
* = starter