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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 75.9% 24.1% -6.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% -
Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% -
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: Stetson Hatters -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 44 8-13 6-10 4-4 5 1 3 0 2 26 20 +0.6
A. Robinson 41 4-19 2-5 6-9 7 10 2 0 2 16 14 +0.6
A. Holt 35 10-12 0-0 3-5 7 1 2 0 2 23 19 +2.8
B. Shoulders 35 2-7 0-3 2-2 10 2 0 1 2 6 10 -3.7
C. Bryant 34 3-7 2-6 0-1 2 2 1 1 0 8 7 +6.7
J. Quinones 19 0-5 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -2 +1.6
M. Overstreet 10 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +0.8
L. Vaistaras 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -6.3

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Canka 40 3-9 1-4 5-5 10 1 2 1 2 12 15 -8.7
M. Ellison 38 5-14 1-5 3-4 2 6 0 0 4 14 4 -0.3
T. Gross 38 3-7 2-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 8 6 -3.8
J. Massey 37 8-12 1-1 5-6 8 0 0 0 1 22 17 +9.3
J. Wood 28 7-14 5-11 4-5 5 1 1 2 4 23 14 -1.9
B. Sagna 13 1-3 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -12.4
A. Doyle 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +9.7
T. Thompson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 0 3 -10.8
F. Sheridan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 +8.4
L. Babusiak 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +5.2

* = starter