Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -6.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 44 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | +0.6 |
| A. Robinson | 41 | 4-19 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +0.6 |
| A. Holt | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | +2.8 |
| B. Shoulders | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -3.7 |
| C. Bryant | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +6.7 |
| J. Quinones | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +1.6 |
| M. Overstreet | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +0.8 |
| L. Vaistaras | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.3 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Canka | 40 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -8.7 |
| M. Ellison | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | -0.3 |
| T. Gross | 38 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -3.8 |
| J. Massey | 37 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +9.3 |
| J. Wood | 28 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 14 | -1.9 |
| B. Sagna | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -12.4 |
| A. Doyle | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +9.7 |
| T. Thompson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10.8 |
| F. Sheridan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.4 |
| L. Babusiak | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
* = starter