Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -25 (78-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Javan Simmons * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +26.9 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 25 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +12.5 |
| Sam Lewis * | 22 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +7.8 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Seth Hubbard | 25 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Bryce Ford | 20 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +15.0 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +15.6 |
| Grgur Brcic | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Tyler Ode | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +20.7 |
| Jaylen Murphy | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Phillips Jr. * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -20.7 |
| Abramo Canka * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -11.0 |
| Tristan Gross * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Treyton Thompson * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -16.5 |
| Jordan Wood * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -12.3 |
| Josh Massey | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -29.1 |
| Mehki Ellison | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | -14.4 |
| Alex Doyle | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Finley Sheridan | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Landen Babusiak | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter