Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 33 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -10.7 |
| Nate Lliteras | 32 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -5.3 |
| Liam Murphy | 29 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Oscar Berry | 22 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -11.9 |
| Jaylen Smith | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12.7 |
| Ametri Moss | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Mason Lee | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -10.8 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 17 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Dante Oliver | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.4 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Marsh | 37 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | +10.9 |
| Josh Banks | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +14.7 |
| Toyaz Solomon | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | +7.2 |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 27 | +8.6 |
| Fletcher Abee | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +8.1 |
| Jemal Davis | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Kameron Taylor | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Connor Dubsky | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Julian Clarke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter