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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.4% 67.6% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miles 33 5-12 3-9 2-4 7 1 1 0 2 15 10 -10.7
N. Lliteras 32 5-10 1-5 5-7 5 1 2 0 1 16 13 -5.3
L. Murphy 29 1-10 1-8 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 3 2 -6.4
O. Berry 22 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 12 9 -11.9
J. Smith 20 1-6 0-3 4-4 1 6 1 0 2 6 6 -12.7
A. Moss 20 4-6 0-0 4-4 2 2 2 0 3 12 9 -3.7
M. Lee 19 2-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -10.8
K. Oriol 17 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 11 3 +4.4
D. Oliver 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 4 +2.4

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Marsh 37 6-11 3-5 4-4 8 7 1 1 5 19 20 +10.9
J. Banks 36 3-11 1-5 5-6 2 1 0 1 2 12 3 +14.7
T. Solomon 32 9-13 0-0 6-8 9 1 3 0 2 24 22 +7.2
G. Gantt Jr. 30 5-6 0-0 3-4 10 8 3 0 1 13 27 +8.6
F. Abee 18 4-6 3-5 0-1 1 3 0 0 1 11 8 +8.1
J. Davis 17 4-6 1-1 0-2 3 0 0 1 2 9 5 +1.9
K. Taylor 15 1-2 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 6 +8.2
C. Dubsky 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -4.4
J. Clarke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter