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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% -
Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% -
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% -

Actual: North Florida Ospreys +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Giles 36 4-14 2-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 10 -2 -12.1
J. Saizonou 34 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 3 8 8 -9.7
D. Atwell 33 10-19 4-9 3-3 6 2 1 0 1 27 16 -8.2
M. Jones 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 1 0 13 -2.9
J. Breath 18 3-8 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 1 8 7 +1.3
M. Henry 17 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 12 8 -7.5
M. Reath 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -2.4
D. Davis 12 2-5 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 6 1 -12.1
M. So 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -7.4
A. Ahemed 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -5.1
C. Bailey II 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 33 7-16 2-6 5-6 1 9 5 0 3 21 17 +13.2
J. Miles 32 5-9 1-4 2-2 9 1 0 1 2 13 13 +8.2
O. Berry 31 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 2 0 5 11 +0.0
N. Lliteras 31 6-10 4-7 4-5 5 4 0 1 1 20 19 +8.9
L. Murphy 23 4-7 3-6 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 11 10 +9.6
J. Harris 22 9-14 1-2 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 19 14 +16.8
K. Oriol 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 +3.1
A. Moss 6 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 +5.0
M. Lee 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Oliver 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter